Schaeffer's Options Center

Schaeffer's Daily Option Blog
 
Electronic Arts Inc. Trader Opens a Large January 2011 Long Call Spread
Author
Joseph Hargett (jhargett@sir-inc.com)

3/18/2010 3:03:26 PM

Electronic Arts Inc. (ERTS) has seen a surge in option volume today. Specifically, more than 140,000 contracts have changed hands, arriving at more than 18 times the stock's average daily option volume of just 7,669 contracts. What's more, the bulls appear to be in control, as nearly 98% of this activity has crossed on the call side, according to WhatsTrading.com.

Digging a little deeper reveals a trader entered a rather large long call spread at ERTS' January 2011 25 and 30 strikes. The trade is comprised of 60,000 January 2011 25 calls, which traded at the ask price of $0.61, and 60,000 January 2011 30 calls, which crossed at the bid price of $0.14. The total outlay for this long call spread is $0.47, or $47 per contract. While this position could hit its maximum potential profit much earlier if ERTS moves sharply in the right direction, the trader stands to pocket $4.53, or $453 per contract, if the stock closes at or above $30 per share when these options expire in January 2011.

 
Put Player Votes Against WellPoint, Inc.
Author
Sarah Wasserman (swasserman@sir-inc.com)

3/18/2010 2:37:02 PM

With a vote on the health care reform bill imminent, many U.S. health care insurers fell after the opening bell this morning, according to Reuters. WellPoint, Inc. (WLP) was one such insurer, falling 1.2%. The health insurer has also been the focus of increased option activity today, with volume of 36,000 contracts trading -- double WLP's usual volume.

Zeroing in on particular plays, one spread in particular caught my attention. Late this morning, a block of 500 April 65 puts traded at the ask price, suggesting they were bought. At the same time a block of 500 April 57.50 puts crossed the tape between the bid and ask prices, making it difficult to determine whether they were bought or sold. However, if they were sold, it appears this trader initiated a long put spread on WLP.

In a long put spread, the speculator is bearish, but with a downside target. As such, the player purchases an at- or in-the-money put, while simultaneously selling an out-of-the-money put. By doing this, the player is able to reduce the cost of initiating the play.

In this instance, the bearish bettor believes WLP will remain below the $65 level until April expiration; however, he doesn't foresee the insurer falling below $57.50. If this prediction remains true, then the sold put will expire worthless, and the player will be able to profit from his in-the-money put position.

At last check, WLP was exploring the $63.90 area.

 
Bulls Bet on Best Buy Co., Inc.
Author
Sarah Wasserman (swasserman@sir-inc.com)

3/18/2010 2:01:12 PM

Best Buy Co., Inc. (BBY) was the center of some brisk option activity Wednesday, with the retailer seeing volume soar to 34,000 contracts -- nearly double the daily average. Option players showed a preference for calls, with 26,000 of these bullish bets changing hands.

The March 41 call received the most attention, with 10,410 contracts traded. Overnight, open interest at this strike swelled by 7,943, pointing to the addition of fresh positions. What's more, 60% traded at the ask price, implying a good portion of the contracts at this strike were bought to open. By buying to open the March 41 call, speculators are betting that BBY will muscle past the $41 level by March expiration -- which happens after the closing bell this Friday.

This optimism toward BBY is a bit of a change of pace, with the International Securities Exchange (ISE) reporting a 10-day put/call volume ratio of 1.66, in the 65th percentile. In other words, speculators on the ISE have been initiating puts at a faster rate than usual lately.

Elsewhere on the street, sentiment is evenly split toward BBY, with 13 analysts rating the equity a "buy" or better, and the other 13 calling BBY a "hold" or worse, according to Zacks.

Technically speaking, BBY has rallied nearly 9% since the start of March. At last check, BBY had gained 0.65%, to sit at $40.37.

 
Put Traders Target Chesapeake Energy Corporation (CHK) on Bearish Brokerage Note
Author
Andrea Kramer (akramer@sir-inc.com)

3/18/2010 1:40:27 PM

Lazard Capital this morning downgraded Chesapeake Energy Corporation (CHK) to "hold" from "buy," citing lower oil and natural gas forecasts for 2011. In light of the news, the shares of the commodities concern have surrendered about 4.6%, triggering a mad dash for put options on the stock.

So far today, CHK has seen roughly 24,000 puts cross the tape – nearly quadrupling its expected daily volume of about 6,500 contracts. The security's now-near-the-money April 23 put has seen almost 6,100 contracts exchanged – 40% of which have traded at the ask price, implying they were likely bought. However, with more than 18,500 puts already open at the soon-to-be front-month strike, we can't yet tell how much of today's activity will translate into fresh bearish positions.

Judging by the latest data from the International Securities Exchange (ISE), today's preference for CHK puts is a growing trend in the option pits. The stock's 10-day put/call volume ratio of 0.79 ranks in the 90th annual percentile, suggesting that speculators on the ISE have initiated bearish bets over bullish at a much faster pace than usual lately.

Further echoing the mounting pessimism, the equity's Schaeffer's put/call open interest ratio (SOIR) has skyrocketed in recent weeks. More specifically, the security's SOIR of 0.50 stands higher than 60% of all other readings taken during the past year, indicating that short-term option players are adding puts at a more rapid clip than calls.

At last check, CHK has given up about $1.10 to hover just south of the $24 level.

 
Put Writers Predict Round-Number Support for Clean Energy Fuels Corp. (CLNE)
Author
Andrea Kramer (akramer@sir-inc.com)

3/18/2010 11:48:49 AM

Put traders converged on Clean Energy Fuels Corp. (CLNE) on Wednesday, with single-session volume soaring to more than five times the norm. More specifically, the alternative energy issue saw close to 3,800 puts change hands yesterday, compared to its predicted daily volume of fewer than 750 contracts. However, digging deeper into the data reveals that not all of the activity was of the bearish variety.

The security's out-of-the-money April 20 put attracted the most attention, with roughly 3,275 contracts exchanged. Put open interest at the round-number strike advanced by more than 2,900 contracts overnight, pointing to the addition of fresh positions. However, the majority of the soon-to-be front-month puts traded closer to the bid price, suggesting they were likely sold.

By writing the April 20 puts, the sellers are betting the shares of CLNE will remain atop the $20 level through options expiration on Friday, April 16. In this instance, the 20-strike puts will expire worthless, allowing the sellers to keep the initial premium received – which also represents the maximum potential reward on the play.

While yesterday's bullish bettors may have taken the less conventional route, the latest data from the International Securities Exchange (ISE) further reflects a growing optimism among the options crowd. CLNE sports an ISE 10-day call/put volume ratio of 3.23, indicating that speculators during the past two weeks have bought to open more than three times as many CLNE calls as puts.

At midday, CLNE has added 3.2% to explore the $21.70 neighborhood.

 
Commentary by WhatsTrading.com
 
Cintas Corp (CTAS) $27.77 +0.95%
3/18/2010 2:20:03 PM

Cintas (CTAS) sees somewhat bullish flow ahead of earnings, due out after the closing bell today. Shares are up 22 cents to $27.73 and the focus is on April 30 calls. 3430 traded (24% Mid / 70% Ask) vs.1070 in open interest. One of the top trades is a lot of 328 this morning on ISE, which is an opening buyer, according to ISEE data. Implied volatility is up about 4.5 percent to 30 ahead of the results.

Read more at WhatsTrading.com

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Citigroup Inc (C) $4.04 -0.25%
3/18/2010 12:20:03 PM

Huge Print in Citi (C) today after an investor sold 217,000 April 4 puts at an average of 16 cents per contract. Citi is flat at $4.05 and this appears to be a new position, as open interest is 189K. 266,500 Citigroup April 4 puts now traded.

Read more at WhatsTrading.com

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Human Genome Sciences Inc (HGSI) $31.50 +0.83%
3/18/2010 11:20:03 AM

Human Genome Sciences (HGSI) sees a spike on increasing volume and is up 49 cents to $31.73 on renewed takeover speculation -- fly on the wall. In the options, March 32 calls are seeing interest in recent trade. 3000 now changed hands vs. 2726 in open interest. 33 percent traded Mid and 51 percent at the Ask. (Note: with the expiration at the end of this week, there are plenty of reasons to be skeptical of any chatter today and tomorrow.)

Read more at WhatsTrading.com

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Boston Scientific Corp (BSX) $6.92 -0.43%
3/18/2010 10:20:04 AM

Boston Scientific (BSX) shares are down 4 cents to $6.91 and BSX puts seeing some interest early Thursday after the FDA recommends that doctors not use BSX medical devices. The FDA is not urging explants and is now aware of safety concerns, but advises against the use of devices until changes are approved. Recall that BSX shares fell 12.6 percent on March 15 after the company warned that it has stopped the sale of its defibrillators. Recent options trades today includes 1250 BSX Aug 6 puts at the 45-cent asking price and might be part of a protective put play. 2700 now traded.

Read more at WhatsTrading.com

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Unusual Activity Roundup, Mar 17
3/17/2010 4:20:03 PM

Some less actively traded names seeing bullish order flow: Texas Roadhouse (TXRH), Mueller Water Products (MWA), Granite Construction (GVA) Bearish order flow: VF Corp. (VFC), Embraer (ERJ), Knight Transportation (KNX) Post Earnings: General Mills (GIS) Pre-Earnings: Nike (NKE), FedEx (FDX) Ex-div.: Tiffany (TIF), Dr. Pepper (DPS), National Semi (NSM), Provident Energy (PVX), DTE, Holly (HOC)

Read more at WhatsTrading.com

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Alcoa Inc (AA) $14.76 +6.95%
3/17/2010 3:00:06 PM

Alcoa (AA) shares rallied nearly 7 percent to $14.75 and are easily the best gainers in the Dow Jones Industrial Average on reports the company might begin to get discounts on power supplies in Italy. Alcoa said in November that it would temporarily idle smelters in Sardinia and Venice. However, under a new decree Sardinia and Sicily would be upgrade and industrial consumers like Alcoa would get discounts on power supplies. AA is up and options volume is running 4X the average daily, with 171K contracts on the tape so far. April 15 calls are the most actives. The top trade is a block of 8000 on the bid of 47 cents and marked "tied", and so a possible buy-write. Also seeing buyers of Oct 15 and 20 calls. A seller of an April 15 - 17 call spread, 2000X. A buyer of July - Oct 15 call spread, 4000X. And, an April 13 - 15 "collar", 2800X.

Read more at WhatsTrading.com

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Crocs Inc (CROX) $7.92 +7.17%
3/17/2010 1:20:06 PM

Crocs (CROX) is up 52 cents to $7.91 and seeing relative strength after Piper Jaffray analysts upped their price target to $9 from $8.50. The analysts met with management and said they have increased confidence in growth strategies, leadership, and opportunities in global markets for the company. They recommend CROX. In the options market, volume is running about the typical levels, but with clearly more action on the call side of the options chain. 1475 contracts traded, compared to 66 puts. The action is focused on Mar 7, April 8, Mar 8 and Sep 8 calls, with about 75 percent trading at the asking price.

Read more at WhatsTrading.com

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Polycom Inc (PLCM) $33.01 +8.44%
3/17/2010 11:20:06 AM

Polycom (PLCM) gapped higher and is up $2.71 to $33.05 on 10X the average daily options volume after FT.com reported that Apax is in talks with the video game maker about going private. April 30 calls are the most actives, with 8815 traded. Some players might be exiting positions, as the contract is $3 in-the-money and was the subject of interest on Mar 11 and Mar 15 when shares were between $29 and $30. July 35 calls and April 30 puts are seeing interest as well.

Read more at WhatsTrading.com

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Materials Select Sector (XLB) $33.99 +0.65%
3/17/2010 10:20:06 AM

Select Sector Basic Materials (XLB) with a four way trade yesterday that looked a lot like an iron butterfly -- selling the June 32 straddle to buy the June 29 - 35 strangle, 10000X. However, looking at today's open interest, looks like the Jun 29 - 32 call risk-reversal was closed to open a position in the bullish June 32 - 35 risk-reversal (However, also possibly a roll of a strangle up in strikes.)\n
\n\nFlow Monitor Tip: You can see the open interest changes each morning using Flow Monitor. You'll get it here fast. In this example, enter XLB, then select option 5. To see more, enter + (you can do this several times.)

Read more at WhatsTrading.com

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Unusual Activity Roundup, Mar 16
3/16/2010 4:20:03 PM

Some less actively traded names seeing bullish order flow: Steelcase (SLT), Crown Castle (CCI), Jones Apparel (JNY) Bearish order flow: Werner Enterprises (WERN), Tibco Software (TIBX), Momenta Pharm (MNTA) Post Earnings: Sequenom (SQNM), Ariad Pharm (ARIA), AthenaHealth (ATHN) Pre-Earnings: Discover Financial (DFS), Khongzong (KONG) Ex-div.: HSBC (HBC), Chubb (CB)

Read more at WhatsTrading.com

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More Options Commentaries and Observations by Schaeffer’s

 
Market Recap: Dow Tags Another New High While SPX Struggles

Stocks attempted to extend their seven-session winning streak today, but the bulls seemed less than impressed by a generally upbeat round of economic data. The Labor Department's latest jobless report revealed that initial claims for unemployment benefits fell by 5,000 last week, marking the third consecutive decline in jobless filings. Separately, the Labor Department noted that its consumer price index (CPI) was unchanged in February, suggesting that inflation remains relatively tame. In other economic news, the Conference Board's index of leading economic indicators and the Philadelphia Fed Index both notched monthly gains, providing further evidence of a recuperating economy. Despite these glad tidings, the bulls were notably reserved today. With all three major market indexes lingering near annual-high territory, traders seemed somewhat hesitant to continue snapping up stocks. The net result was a decidedly mixed close for the equities market.

read more...

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Options Coach: Exercising Options

Stocks attempted to extend their seven-session winning streak today, but the bulls seemed less than impressed by a generally upbeat round of economic data. The Labor Department's latest jobless report revealed that initial claims for unemployment benefits fell by 5,000 last week, marking the third consecutive decline in jobless filings. Separately, the Labor Department noted that its consumer price index (CPI) was unchanged in February, suggesting that inflation remains relatively tame. In other economic news, the Conference Board's index of leading economic indicators and the Philadelphia Fed Index both notched monthly gains, providing further evidence of a recuperating economy. Despite these glad tidings, the bulls were notably reserved today. With all three major market indexes lingering near annual-high territory, traders seemed somewhat hesitant to continue snapping up stocks. The net result was a decidedly mixed close for the equities market.

read more...

Close Article

 
Options Strategy of the Day: The Long Call Condor

Stocks attempted to extend their seven-session winning streak today, but the bulls seemed less than impressed by a generally upbeat round of economic data. The Labor Department's latest jobless report revealed that initial claims for unemployment benefits fell by 5,000 last week, marking the third consecutive decline in jobless filings. Separately, the Labor Department noted that its consumer price index (CPI) was unchanged in February, suggesting that inflation remains relatively tame. In other economic news, the Conference Board's index of leading economic indicators and the Philadelphia Fed Index both notched monthly gains, providing further evidence of a recuperating economy. Despite these glad tidings, the bulls were notably reserved today. With all three major market indexes lingering near annual-high territory, traders seemed somewhat hesitant to continue snapping up stocks. The net result was a decidedly mixed close for the equities market.

read more...

Close Article

 
Checking Out Massive Call Volume on Citigroup Inc., By the Numbers

Stocks attempted to extend their seven-session winning streak today, but the bulls seemed less than impressed by a generally upbeat round of economic data. The Labor Department's latest jobless report revealed that initial claims for unemployment benefits fell by 5,000 last week, marking the third consecutive decline in jobless filings. Separately, the Labor Department noted that its consumer price index (CPI) was unchanged in February, suggesting that inflation remains relatively tame. In other economic news, the Conference Board's index of leading economic indicators and the Philadelphia Fed Index both notched monthly gains, providing further evidence of a recuperating economy. Despite these glad tidings, the bulls were notably reserved today. With all three major market indexes lingering near annual-high territory, traders seemed somewhat hesitant to continue snapping up stocks. The net result was a decidedly mixed close for the equities market.

read more...

Close Article

 
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